Monday, July 25, 2016

Eye on Iran: Delays Threaten to Unravel Iranian Plans to Buy 200 Jetliners








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NYT: "Agreements for Iran to buy more than 200 jetliners from Boeing and Airbus, the most prominent commercial outcomes of the nuclear accord reached a year ago, face delays that could reduce or even unravel them, aviation lawyers and analysts said. Legislation passed by the House of Representatives on July 7 would essentially block the multibillion-dollar agreements with Boeing and Airbus, despite provisions in the nuclear accord that allowed for such deals. While President Obama is expected to veto that legislation, it has pushed back the clock for the airplane deliveries, much to the annoyance of Iranian officials... Boeing's chief executive, Dennis A. Muilenburg, speaking this month at the Farnborough International Airshow in Britain, an important annual industry event, may have added to the skepticism. He said that if his company could not sell planes to Iran Air, the state-run airline, under a memorandum of agreement reached in June, then 'nobody should.' Mr. Muilenburg was alluding to the Airbus deal, which was publicized to great fanfare when President Hassan Rouhani of Iran visited France, where Airbus has its headquarters, in January. The Iranians are also finding it difficult to find financing from foreign banks still skittish about doing business with the country... The delayed aircraft deals have sent ripples of uncertainty through the aviation industry, potentially affecting anticipated work by financial institutions, suppliers, service providers, insurers, reinsurers and others, according to lawyers knowledgeable about how large aircraft purchase contracts are handled." http://t.uani.com/2a4jcrg

Reuters: "Iran confirmed on Sunday the detention of an Iranian-American visiting the country, the latest in a string of arrests of dual nationals in the past year. Asked about reports of the arrest on national security charges, Judiciary spokesman Gholamhossein Mohseni Ejei told a weekly news conference: 'The report on the arrest of an Iranian-American dual national is correct,' the semi-official Fars news agency said. Mohseni Ejei declined to name the individual and said he did not know what specific charges would be lodged. He added that the individual was arrested in the northeastern city of Gorgan, but the trial 'may be held' in Tehran. An Iranian-American man, California-based Robin Reza Shahini was detained while visiting his mother in Gorgan earlier in July, according to Shahini's friends... In the past nine months, Iran's Revolutionary Guards have arrested at least six dual-national Iranians, their friends and family members say, the highest number of Iranians with dual-nationality detained at one time in recent years to have been acknowledged. The government has confirmed most of the detentions, without giving details of any charges." http://t.uani.com/2akNSpi

Asharq Al-awsat: "A week after the release of confidential information on its nuclear program, Iran continues its protests with the spokesman of the Iranian Atomic Energy Organization (AEOI) Behrouz Kamalvandi confirming that Tehran will file a complaint with the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). AEOI head Ali Akbar Salehi said that his country has asked the IAEA to keep Iran's nuclear plans confidential. Salehi stressed that Iran had no intention of publicizing the program, noting that its announcement is regarded as a breach of commitments. 'We do not intend to announce the plan ourselves. If the other side does it, it will be a breach of promise, but then again, our people will be informed about our correct and appropriate predictions in regard to the development of our nuclear industry,' he declared. He did however say, 'Of course, we have agreed to confidentially inform the joint commission related to the JCPOA about the plan.' Salehi accused P5+1 of breaching the agreement concerning its nuclear program. Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA) reported Kamalvandi as saying that the parts published were confidential and were supposed to remain so. He added: 'Our assumption is that it has been leaked by the (IAEA) Agency.' Kamalvandi ensured that Tehran will lodge a protest with IAEA." http://t.uani.com/2abJDxb

Sanctions Relief

WSJ: "Iran has started drawing on oil reserves in floating storage, according to ship-tracking data, a move which could mark a turning point for the country this year. The data from Marine Traffic show a 1.4 million-barrel overnight decline on the Iranian floating storage tanker Hilda. Iran boosted its oil production after international sanctions against the nation were removed early this year as part of a nuclear deal with six world powers. However, global crude prices plummeted, in part on expectations of Iran's increased output, and the nation has struggled to unload its production as quickly as it had hoped in the pre-sanctions era. Market participants had estimated Iran's floating storage in February at 35 million to 50 million barrels." http://t.uani.com/2aFsMAP

Press TV (Iran): "Iran says one of its airlines is planning to buy over two dozen planes from Japan's industrial giant Mitsubishi thus confirming earlier reports that a deal to the same effect is in the pipeline. Iran's Deputy Transport Minister Asghar Fakhrieh Kashan has been quoted by the media as saying that a total of 25 planes - Mitsubishi Regional Jets - are planned to be purchased from Mitsubishi adding that the value of the purchase will be around $500 million. Fakhrieh Kashan added that most of the planes are to be provided to Iran Aseman Airlines. The official emphasized that talks with the Japanese company over the purchase are in their early stages.  He also said that similar negotiations are underway to purchase MRJs for other Iranian airlines, as well." http://t.uani.com/2a7KVFI

Forbes: "If the deals are blocked, Iran will have to look for other options to revive its airline fleet. One possibility could be to lease planes from other sources, although that too would be likely to come under critical scrutiny from US politicians. Sri Lanka's national carrier, SriLankan Airlines, is reportedly interested in leasing one of its new Airbus A350 aircraft to Iran, as it looks to cut costs and trim its route network. Failing that, smaller aircraft manufacturers may be easier to deal with than the giants of Boeing and Airbus. As well as ATR, Iran has also agreed to buy some jets from Brazil's Embraer and has reportedly been in talks with Japan's Mitsubishi and China's Comac." http://t.uani.com/2aaBJkK

Foreign Affairs

Press TV (Iran): "Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has left Tehran on a four-nation tour of West Africa to discuss possible ways of expanding relations. Heading a politico-economic delegation, Zarif left Tehran for the Nigerian capital, Abuja, on Sunday on the first leg of his tour which will also take him to Ghana, Guinea-Conakry and Mali. During his six-day visit, the Iranian minister is to hold talks with senior officials of the four African countries and also take part in meetings with businesspeople." http://t.uani.com/2aFt4HX

Extremism

AFP: "Iran destroyed 100,000 satellite dishes and receivers on Sunday as part of a widespread crackdown against the illegal devices that authorities say are morally damaging, a news website reported. The destruction ceremony took place in Tehran in the presence of General Mohammad Reza Naghdi, head of Iran's Basij militia, who warned of the impact that satellite television was having in the conservative country. 'The truth is that most satellite channels... deviate the society's morality and culture,' he said at the event according to Basij News. 'What these televisions really achieve is increased divorce, addiction and insecurity in society.' Naghdi added that a total of one million Iranians had already voluntarily handed over their satellite apparatuses to authorities. Under Iranian law, satellite equipment is banned and those who distribute, use, or repair them can be fined up to $2,800 (2,500 euros). Iranian police regularly raid neighbourhoods and confiscate dishes from rooftops." http://t.uani.com/2aqbKrd

Opinion & Analysis

Stephen F. Hayes & Thomas Joscelyn in The Weekly Standard: "Last week, President Barack Obama's administration dismissed reports of Iranian support for al Qaeda as the product of fevered minds. Claims of collaboration between the Islamic regime and the terrorist organization are little more than 'baseless conspiracy theories,' an Obama administration official told The Weekly Standard. 'Anyone who thinks Iran was or is in bed with al Qaeda doesn't know much about either.' That group of ignoramuses apparently includes the Obama administration's top official on terror financing. Adam J. Szubin, the Treasury Department's acting undersecretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, this week designated three senior al Qaeda officials operating in Iran. A statement explaining the designations says Treasury 'took action to disrupt the operations, fundraising, and support networks that help al-Qaida move money and operatives from South Asia and across the Middle East by imposing sanctions on three al-Qaida senior members located in Iran.' One of the three operatives is part of a 'new generation' of al Qaeda leaders, replenishing the ranks of those who have been killed by the United States and its allies. Treasury identifies that man, Faisal Jassim Mohammed al-Amri al-Khalidi, as the chief of al Qaeda's Military Commission and a key operative in al Qaeda's global network, responsible for weapons acquisition and a liaison between al Qaeda leaders and associated groups. This is not the first time the Obama administration has targeted the Iran-al Qaeda relationship. The Treasury and State Departments publicly accused the Iranian regime of allowing al Qaeda to operate inside Iran at least 10 times between July 2011 and August 2014. Testifying before Congress in February 2012, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper described the relationship as a 'marriage of convenience.' There is considerably more evidence of Iran's support for al Qaeda in the collection of documents captured during the raid of Osama bin Laden's compound on Abbottabad, Pakistan, in 2011. Senior U.S. intelligence officials have told The Weekly Standard that the document collection includes letters describing the nature of the relationship between Iran and al Qaeda and specific ways in which Iran has aided al Qaeda's network and operations. The Obama administration has refused to release the documents to the public and fought to keep them hidden during the negotiations over the Iran nuclear deal." http://t.uani.com/2a0uagN

Thomas Joscelyn in The Weekly Standard: "Ayatollah Khamenei, the 'Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution,' commemorated the end of Ramadan with a lengthy anti-American, antisemitic screed. Khamenei has repeatedly accused the West and Israel, rather than Muslim-majority forces, of sponsoring violence in the region, and the title of his sermon, 'American, Zionist and English Intelligence Services Created Terrorism in the Islamic World,' reinforced his favorite talking point. Khamenei blamed these actors for a string of high-profile terrorist attacks during Ramadan-in Iraq, Istanbul, Bangladesh, Yemen, and elsewhere-all of which were carried out by the Islamic State and its followers. 'This is the work of intelligence services-particularly the dangerous hands of American, Zionist, and English intelligence services-which have cultivated terrorism,' Khamenei said July 6. 'It is they who have created terrorism in the world of Islam.' Just over one week later, on July 14, Secretary of State John Kerry celebrated the first anniversary of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran. The agreement 'guaranteed to the world that Iran would not be pursuing a nuclear weapon,' Kerry declared. The administration believes, Kerry added, 'that the door that has been opened as a consequence of this dialogue gives us an opportunity' to discuss various 'continuing issues' with Iran, including 'in Syria or Yemen, on terrorism.' The two views could not be more diametrically opposed. Khamenei claims the United States and its allies are responsible for terrorism throughout the Muslim-majority world, an absurd claim to American ears. Kerry, meanwhile, believes he can now engage in constructive dialogue with the Iranians about their own ongoing sponsorship of terrorism. Clearly, there is a disconnect. It is no secret that President Obama and other top administration officials hoped the nuclear accord with Iran would lead to a new era of improved relations between the two foes. At times, Obama even entertained the idea that the Iranian regime could evolve beyond its aggressively anti-American origins. Take off the rose-colored glasses Kerry donned in Paris, however, and a stark reality comes into focus. In the year since the United States and several other countries agreed to the JCPOA, the Iranian regime's terrorist tentacles have grown longer and thicker. Iran remains the world's foremost state sponsor of terrorism, backing anti-American, anti-Israeli, and anti-Sunni-Muslim forces throughout the world. In every country where Iran and its paramilitary agents operate, American interests are damaged, not advanced, by the supreme leader's Islamic Revolution. And the Iranian regime continues to harbor some of al Qaeda's most dangerous terrorists." http://t.uani.com/2abLB0e
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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