Wednesday, January 29, 2014

Eye on Iran: Obama Threatens to Veto Any New Iran Sanctions Bill








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AFP: "US President Barack Obama made a powerful plea Tuesday to give diplomacy a chance to resolve a decade-old standoff with Iran over its nuclear program, as he vowed to veto any new sanctions bill... 'It is American diplomacy, backed by pressure, that has halted the progress of Iran's nuclear program - and rolled parts of that program back - for the very first time in a decade,' Obama said. Thanks to the six-month accord, the Islamic republic has begun eliminating its stockpiles of enriched uranium, has agreed to daily inspections and is not installing advanced centrifuges, he said. 'With our allies and partners, we're engaged in negotiations to see if we can peacefully achieve a goal we all share: preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon,' he stressed. But he warned that negotiations for a comprehensive deal, due to start in New York next month, 'will be difficult. They may not succeed.' Answering criticism from some lawmakers about negotiating with Iran, Obama said the US was 'clear-eyed' and any deal would not be based merely on trust but on verifiable actions. 'The sanctions that we put in place helped make this opportunity possible. But let me be clear: if this Congress sends me a new sanctions bill now that threatens to derail these talks, I will veto it.'" http://t.uani.com/1fwtnQO

The Hill: "Lawmakers are 'stunned' by President Obama's nuclear deal with Iran, House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Ed Royce (R-Calif.) said at a hearing Tuesday on the agreement's implementation. Members of both parties used the hearing to attack the preliminary deal with Iran that went into effect last week, particularly its provisions allowing Iran to continue low-level uranium enrichment. They also urged the Senate to break with the White House and pass new sanctions that would set in if Iran doesn't agree to a final deal within six months. 'I think all of us are a little stunned,' Royce said. 'I think we're stunned that not only does Iran continue to enrich uranium, but they're very, very vocal about the fact that they're going to continue the research and development of faster and faster spinning centrifuges.'" http://t.uani.com/1fdknAU

Reuters: "Renault has resumed shipments to Iran and expects its car production in the country to pick up progressively throughout the first half of 2014, the French automaker said. A temporary easing of sanctions has begun to allow a 'very low' volume of parts shipments for vehicle assembly in Iran, Renault's regional boss Gilles Normand told Reuters in an interview late on Tuesday. 'The important thing is that we can gradually restart the supply of parts for vehicle production as well as the flow of payments,' said Normand, head of the carmaker's Asia-Pacific operations, which include the Middle East. 'There's a window of opportunity for the next six months.' Overland shipments of parts for the Tondar model, an Iranian version of Renault's low-cost Logan car, have been leaving from Romania in the last 10 days after a six-month hiatus caused by last year's further tightening of sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1jISsgn
   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

Free Beacon: "The full text of the recently inked Iranian nuclear deal is being kept in 'a super secret location' shrouded in 'a cone of silence,' according to House Foreign Affairs Committee (HFAC) member Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R., Fla.) Lawmakers and experts alike criticized the White House for refusing to release publicly the full text of the deal, which temporary halts some of Iran's nuclear program in exchange for billions of dollars in economic sanctions relief. Ros-Lehtinen said on Tuesday during a HFAC hearing about the deal that even members of Congress must climb through hoops in order to view the deal. 'Why is it that members of Congress have to go to a super secret location, a cone of silence ... to look at the deal?' Ros-Lehtinen asked a panel of nuclear experts... Iran is already experiencing an economic boom as the United States begins to roll back sanctions, according to United Against Nuclear Iran CEO Mark Wallace. 'The true value of sanctions relief is well more than $20 billion dollars,' said Wallace, contradicting White House claims that the deal will give Tehran around $7 billion in relief. 'Iran's economy is blossoming.'" http://t.uani.com/1fayCVJ

Reuters: "U.N. nuclear inspectors visited an Iranian uranium mine for the first time in nearly a decade on Wednesday, Iranian media reported, as Tehran gradually opens up its disputed nuclear program to greater international scrutiny. A three-member team from the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) went to the Gchine mine near the southern Gulf port city of Bandar Abbas, a spokesman for Iran's atomic energy organization said. The IAEA was last there in 2005. They 'are now conducting their inspection,' Behrouz Kamalvandi was quoted as saying on the web site of Press TV, Iran's English-language state television. Allowing the U.N. nuclear agency - which is investigating suspicions that Iran may have carried out atomic bomb research - to go to Gchine was among six concrete steps Iran agreed to under a November 11 cooperation agreement with the IAEA... Going to Gchine would allow the IAEA to know the amount of uranium mined there, making it 'harder for Iran to generate a secret stock of natural uranium', the U.S. Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS) said last month." http://t.uani.com/1iLggQw

Reuters: "An international deal capping Iran's nuclear work set the programme back by just six weeks, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on Tuesday, accusing Tehran of using the hiatus to hone technologies with bomb-making potential... 'All told, we assess that the agreement put Iran six weeks further away, no more than that, from the place where it was beforehand,' Netanyahu told a security conference in Tel Aviv. 'So the test remains for a permanent deal, if achieved, to prevent Iran from achieving a nuclear capability altogether,' he said, alluding to further planned international talks with Iran aimed at a fuller agreement on the disputed nuclear programme." http://t.uani.com/1d7JW2h

AFP: "Iran said Tuesday that Israel is using Tehran's nuclear programme to distract from its 'crimes' against the Palestinians, during a rare visit by an official from the Western-backed Palestinian Authority. Israel, along with Western countries, has long accused Iran of covertly pursuing nuclear weapons alongside its civilian programme -- charges denied by Tehran -- and the Jewish state criticised a landmark nuclear deal reached with world powers in November. 'Under the pretext of Iran's peaceful nuclear energy (programme), the Zionists have always tried to distract governments and nations' public opinion from their own crimes in Palestine,' Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said in a statement. He made the remarks during a visit to Iran by Jibril Rajub, a senior official in the Western-backed Palestinian Authority, which is currently engaged in US-brokered peace talks with Israel... [Rajub] called on the 'Iranian people and their government to redouble their support of the Palestinians against the occupation and against Israel's plans to Judaise the Holy City and expel its inhabitants.'" http://t.uani.com/1njwFfw

Trend: "'More sanctions would only result in more centrifuges,' Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said in reference to Iran's steady progress in installing thousands of centrifuges for the enrichment of uranium over the past few years... He also went on to say that the Geneva nuclear deal is a great success for his country. 'For one decade there was only one image in the West's mind, that there is only one option, that is, zero enrichment, and that Iran's uranium enrichment must be stopped,' he maintained." http://t.uani.com/1e7gDDd

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Turkish Prime Minister Tayyip Erdogan has arrived in Iran to bolster trade and energy relations, state TV said, in what also looked like a bid to defuse tensions over Syria by capitalizing on Tehran's diplomatic opening to regional rivals and the West. Iran has been a strong strategic ally of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad since the start of the uprising against him, while Turkey has been one of his fiercest critics, supporting his opponents and giving refuge to rebel fighters... Analysts said the main focus of Erdogan's visit would be expanding economic cooperation, finessing the political disputes for now. 'Considering that the economy and energy ministers are accompanying Erdogan, we can say this trip is business-targeted,' said Tehran-based analyst Hossein Foroughi. Three trade deals were signed on Wednesday after Erdogan's arrival, Iranian state television said, without elaborating... Iranian officials say trade between the countries stood at $22 billion (16.2 billion euros) in 2012, before dipping to $20 billion in 2013. It is expected to reach $30 billion in 2015." http://t.uani.com/1by6wBt

AFP: "Iran wants to use Japanese, South Korean and Swiss banks to handle international trade exempted from Western sanctions under a landmark nuclear deal, a senior official said on Tuesday. Intensifying US sanctions since 2008, mirrored by the European Union in 2012, had effectively shut Iran out of the international banking system, making all foreign trade difficult. But under the November agreement, which went into effect last week, major powers agreed Iran could set up a financial channel to pay for the import of goods already exempt from Western sanctions. The same designated banks will be used to handle income Iran receives from the partial easing of EU and US sanctions over the next six months in return for its scaling back of its controversial nuclear programme. 'Under the Geneva agreement, a banking mechanism is to be designated by the United States and Western countries... for purchases of food products, medicines and medical equipment,' said Abbas Araqchi, one of Iran's top negotiators. 'Banks from Japan, South Korea and Switzerland have been selected,' Araqchi told Iranian media, without naming the banks. Araqchi said the move would facilitate some 18 billion dollars a year in food and medical imports that are not themselves subject to Western sanctions but which Iran has struggled to make payment for because of the Western banking sanctions. The same mechanism would be used to handle revenues from the slightly more than one million barrels per day in oil exports Iran is allowed to make under the agreement, which are expected to generate some $15 billion in revenues." http://t.uani.com/1dMm3NV

Bloomberg: "Insurance for tankers to export Iranian crude may be unusable even after the U.S. and the European Union eased sanctions against the Persian Gulf state, a group covering vessel owners said. Ship owners hauling Iran's oil may go unpaid if they claim against insurance policies after July 20, the date temporary relief of sanctions on the nation is due to expire or be renewed, Gard AS, an Arendal, Norway-based organization covering against risks including oil spills, said in an update on its website today. The Office of Foreign Assets Control, part of the U.S. Treasury, declined to clarify whether claims would be recoverable after July even if the incident happened before then, Gard said... 'Members and clubs should proceed on the basis that beyond 20 July 2014, clubs will not be able to respond to any claims presented in respect of liabilities arising during the 20 January/20 July suspension period,' Gard, the largest P&I provider, said in its notice. 'This has the effect of rendering the current suspension of sanctions on insurance cover, and in particular P&I cover, of very limited, if any, value to shipowners.'" http://t.uani.com/1aHvALJ

Congressional Sanctions Debate

The Hill: "Critics and advocates of President Obama's Iran diplomacy are eagerly awaiting his State of the Union speech - but with opposite expectations. The liberal, pro-Israel group J Street hopes the president will tell lawmakers once and for all to back off their threat to pass new sanctions that the White House says could scuttle any chance at a nuclear deal. 'We hope he addresses it directly,' said Dylan Williams, the group's chief lobbyist. 'It will show that he feels this is a fight he can win and he's coming from a position of strength vis-a-vis those in Congress who are pushing for new sanctions.' ... United Against Nuclear Iran, which supports sanctions, thinks the president should instead engage lawmakers on what the terms of a final deal should be. 'The Obama administration has not been doing this so far,' said CEO Mark Wallace. 'In fact they have been extending olive branches to Iran, while attacking Congress as reckless and war-hungry.'" http://t.uani.com/1ll1rWS

Human Rights

IHR: "According to sources Iran Human Rights (IHR) has been in contact with the two Ahwazi Arab activists Hadi Rashedi and   Hashem Shabani have been executed.  Iranian intelligence ministry offcials have informed the families of the prisoners that the executions were carried out four days ago. However, Ahwazi activists believe that Hadi Rashedi and Hashem Shabani were executed immediately after their transfer from the Karoun prison of Ahwaz. Iran Human Rights (IHR) strongly condemns execution of Ahwazi Arab activists. Mahmood Amiry-Moghaddam, the spokesperson of IHR said: 'the leadership of the Iranian authorities must be held accountable for the unlawful executions of the Ahwazi Arab activists. We once again urge the United Nations to send an independent fact finding mission to Iran to investigate these executions'. On January 20, 2014, 13 human rights NGOs issued a statement calling to stop execution of Ahwazi Arab activists." http://t.uani.com/L8Wkbp

Domestic Politics

Al-Monitor: "The Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) is making news in Iran for all the wrong reasons. It's falling, and fast. Its main index peaked at 89,500 points on Jan. 5 of this year. Then it started to fall. By Jan. 26, it had fallen to 81,905 points. At one point, its dive was described as 'historic.' A loss of 7,595 points within three weeks (almost 7%) is a lot for any stock exchange, especially the TSE, one of the fastest rising in the world. In mid-August 2010, it crossed the 16,000 points threshold and that was considered major news. Now, despite the recent falls, its value is almost 400% higher than then." http://t.uani.com/1by4t0d

Foreign Affairs

WSJ: "A group of British lawmakers who visited Iran earlier this month said Tuesday that they expected a return visit by some of their Iranian counterparts to London, possibly in June or July, although no dates have been fixed yet. If confirmed the visit would mark another step in the gradual thaw in relations between Britain and Iran. The two countries severed diplomatic ties in 2011 when protesters overran the U.K. embassy in Tehran in response to the sanctions regime on the country, prompting Britain to expel Iran's diplomats. 'It's not fixed but it is going to happen,' Jeremy Corbyn, one of the four U.K. lawmakers who visited Tehran in early January, told reporters when asked about the possibility of a visit to Britain by Iranian lawmakers. He added that it had been agreed in principle with representatives of Iran's parliament." http://t.uani.com/1fwtnQO

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Advisory Board Member Matthias Kuentzel:
"On the one side, a majority in the U.S. Senate supports a bill to strengthen the American negotiating position vis-à-vis Iran by threatening further sanctions if Tehran violates the Geneva Agreement or backs away from the planned final accord on its nuclear program. 75 prominent foreign policy advisers and publicists have supported this bill in an Open Letter to leading members of the Congress. On the other side, the U.S. president is threatening to veto this bill. He is supported by influential senators such as Dianne Feinstein, the National Iranian American Council, a pro-Iran lobby group, and grassroots organizations such as the Jewish organization JStreet. Their campaigns appeal to the war-weariness of the American population. The JStreet-Sticker bears the slogan: 'No Iranian bomb. NO NEW WAR. No to Senate Bill 1881.' Tehran has been betting on such a division for months. 'If we think that there is a unified voice in America, we are mistaken,' maintained Iran's foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif. 'By utilizing the opposing views in the U.S. we can be the winners on the (diplomatic) scene.' President Rohani's consultants came to the same conclusion. They recommended 'enhancing the influence and power of political forces in Washington that ... believe that the U.S. current policy of pressure against Iran should abandoned.' The most important force who believes that the pressure should be abandoned, at least temporarily, is the President. While the Senate majority assumes that Iran will change its nuclear policies only under pressure, Mr. Obama maintains that the absence of pressure is necessary for the diplomatic path to prevail. How Mr. Obama came to this belief is unclear. He himself puts the possibility of a final agreement with Iran at just 50 percent. In addition, Tehran's announcements and activities since the signing of the Geneva Agreement of November 24 have made it clear that relying on voluntary Iranian concessions is a lost cause. After the entry into force of this agreement, not only Tehran's efforts to complete the plutonium breeder of Arak will continue but also the operation of a new generation of centrifuges 'for research purposes'. On 20 December, the Iranian Atomic Energy Agency even announced that it wants to make Iran a uranium enrichment center for the whole of Western Asia5, while the Office of the Supreme Leader maintained that the six-month period of the Interim Agreement is meaningless: A final nuclear deal could 'require even 20 years of bargaining time.' On January 14, President Rouhani put Tehran's attitude in a nutshell: 'Do you know what the Geneva agreement is? It means the superpower's surrender to the great Iranian nation.' This is proof that voluntary concessions from Iran cannot be expected. Instead, the threat of non-military and military pressure seems to be a prerequisite for an acceptable outcome of the negotiations. But why is the public anger of the President not directed against the troublemakers in Tehran but instead against those American lawmakers who do not want to be humiliated by Iran but demonstrate with their bill what Senator Robert Menendez called a 'reasonable pragmatism'? http://t.uani.com/1iJ2bmI

David Albright & Paulina Izewicz in ISIS: "The interim steps under the Joint Plan of Action are not expected to seriously affect Iran's centrifuge research and development program. These steps may delay the final development of new centrifuges that have not yet used uranium hexafluoride at the Natanz Pilot Fuel Enrichment Plant. However, Iran can continue developm ent of several existing types of advanced centrifuges there. More significant limitations on Iran's centrifuge R&D combined with greater transparency of this program should be included in the final step of a comprehensive solution, given that Iran's development of more advanced centrifuges would greatly ease its ability to conduct a secret breakout to nuclear weapons." http://t.uani.com/1iaAXTf

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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